2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 28, 2026?
As of Wed, 28 Oct 2026 17:48:51 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.66% or above (99.0%), 4.62% or above (98.0%), 4.56% or above (97.0%). The market has $4K in volume and closes on Wed, 28 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.66% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.62% or above | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| 4.56% or above | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| 4.58% or above | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| 4.64% or above | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| 4.6% or above | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| 4.68% or above | 84.0% | 84.0¢ | 16.0¢ |
| 4.7% or above | 77.0% | 77.0¢ | 23.0¢ |
| 4.72% or above | 66.0% | 66.0¢ | 34.0¢ |
| 4.74% or above | 47.0% | 47.0¢ | 53.0¢ |
| 4.76% or above | 22.0% | 22.0¢ | 78.0¢ |
| 4.78% or above | 21.0% | 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ |
| 4.84% or above | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| 4.8% or above | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| 4.82% or above | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $4K
- Liquidity: $4K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.64% or above:
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.63% on Oct 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 28, 2026, or one week following Oct 28, 2026.
Sources
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