2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 26, 2026?
As of Mon, 26 Oct 2026 17:45:56 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.55% or above (99.0%), 4.53% or above (99.0%), 4.59% or above (98.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Mon, 26 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.55% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.53% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.59% or above | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| 4.61% or above | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| 4.63% or above | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| 4.57% or above | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| 4.51% or above | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| 4.65% or above | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| 4.67% or above | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| 4.69% or above | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| 4.71% or above | 80.0% | 80.0¢ | 20.0¢ |
| 4.73% or above | 33.0% | 33.0¢ | 67.0¢ |
| 4.75% or above | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| 4.77% or above | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| 4.79% or above | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.73% or above:
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.72% on Oct 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 26, 2026, or one week following Oct 26, 2026.
Sources
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