2Y US Treasury yield on Nov 3, 2026?
As of Tue, 03 Nov 2026 16:34:40 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.47% or above (99.0%), 4.41% or above (99.0%), 4.43% or above (99.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Tue, 03 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.47% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.41% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.43% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.49% or above | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| 4.45% or above | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| 4.51% or above | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| 4.53% or above | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| 4.55% or above | 90.0% | 90.0¢ | 10.0¢ |
| 4.57% or above | 81.0% | 81.0¢ | 19.0¢ |
| 4.59% or above | 75.0% | 75.0¢ | 25.0¢ |
| 4.63% or above | 61.0% | 61.0¢ | 39.0¢ |
| 4.61% or above | 57.0% | 57.0¢ | 43.0¢ |
| 4.65% or above | 16.0% | 16.0¢ | 84.0¢ |
| 4.67% or above | 16.0% | 16.0¢ | 84.0¢ |
| 4.69% or above | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.47% or above:
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.46% on Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 3, 2026, or one week following Nov 3, 2026.
Sources
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