2Y US Treasury yield on Nov 2, 2026?
As of Mon, 02 Nov 2026 03:54:21 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.5% or above (99.0%), 4.52% or above (95.0%), 4.46% or above (91.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Mon, 02 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.52% or above | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| 4.46% or above | 91.0% | 91.0¢ | 9.0¢ |
| 4.48% or above | 90.0% | 90.0¢ | 10.0¢ |
| 4.54% or above | 86.0% | 86.0¢ | 14.0¢ |
| 4.56% or above | 75.0% | 75.0¢ | 25.0¢ |
| 4.58% or above | 63.0% | 63.0¢ | 37.0¢ |
| 4.6% or above | 42.0% | 42.0¢ | 58.0¢ |
| 4.62% or above | 25.0% | 25.0¢ | 75.0¢ |
| 4.64% or above | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| 4.7% or above | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| 4.66% or above | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| 4.72% or above | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| 4.68% or above | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| 4.74% or above | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.56% or above:
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.55% on Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 2, 2026, or one week following Nov 2, 2026.
Sources
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