TX-04 House winner?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 22:29:11 UTC, Kalshi traders price Pat Fallon (96.0%), Jason Pearce (3.0%). The market has $5K in volume and closes on Mon, 04 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pat Fallon | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| Jason Pearce | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $5K
- Liquidity: $5K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Pat Fallon:
If the House member sworn in for TX-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Sources
Related markets
- Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
- Blue wave this year?
- Blue tsunami this year?
- 2026: Trump's dream year?
- MN-05 House winner?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.