Ruben Gallego out as Senator?
As of Sat, 17 Oct 2026 09:05:10 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Nov 3, 2026 (3.0%), Before Oct 1, 2026 (1.0%), Before Aug 1, 2026 (1.0%). The market has $92K in volume and closes on Fri, 08 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Nov 3, 2026 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Before Aug 1, 2026 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $92K
- Liquidity: $92K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Nov 3, 2026:
If Ruben Gallego leaves as Senator before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Ruben Gallego must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Sources
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