Nobel Physics winner?

As of Mon, 05 Oct 2026 15:42:50 UTC, Kalshi traders price John Pendry (21.0%), Alexei Kitaev (16.0%), Allan MacDonald (16.0%). The market has $19K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
John Pendry21.0%21.0¢79.0¢
Alexei Kitaev16.0%16.0¢84.0¢
Allan MacDonald16.0%16.0¢84.0¢
Pablo Jarillo-Herrero16.0%16.0¢84.0¢
Yves Meyer16.0%16.0¢84.0¢
Federico Capasso15.0%15.0¢85.0¢
Charles Kane14.0%14.0¢86.0¢
John Preskill14.0%14.0¢86.0¢
Eugene Mele12.0%12.0¢88.0¢
Peter Shor11.0%11.0¢89.0¢
Michael Berry10.0%10.0¢90.0¢
Yakir Aharonov10.0%10.0¢90.0¢
Ewine van Dishoeck9.0%9.0¢91.0¢
David Charbonneau8.0%8.0¢92.0¢
Sara Seager8.0%8.0¢92.0¢

Market details

Sources

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