MS-04 House winner?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:06 UTC, Kalshi traders price Mike Ezell (97.0%), Jeffrey Hulum III (3.0%). The market has $11K in volume and closes on Mon, 04 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Mike Ezell97.0%97.0¢3.0¢
Jeffrey Hulum III3.0%3.0¢97.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Mike Ezell:

If the House member sworn in for MS-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Sources

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