KS-04 House winner?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 22:29:07 UTC, Kalshi traders price Ron Estes (95.0%), Katy Tyndell (4.0%). The market has $13K in volume and closes on Mon, 04 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ron Estes | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| Katy Tyndell | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
Prices on other venues
| Outcome | Venue | Chance | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|
| Katy Tyndell | Polymarket | 3.8% |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $13K
- Liquidity: $13K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Ron Estes:
If the House member sworn in for KS-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Sources
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