IA-04 House winner?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 18:57:31 UTC, Kalshi traders price Chris McGowan (96.0%), Dave Dawson (2.0%). The market has $16K in volume and closes on Mon, 04 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chris McGowan | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| Dave Dawson | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $16K
- Liquidity: $16K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Chris McGowan:
If the House member sworn in for IA-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Sources
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