CA-05 House winner?
As of Sat, 17 Oct 2026 13:56:34 UTC, Kalshi traders price Tom McClintock (94.0%), Michael Masuda (6.0%). The market has $20K in volume and closes on Mon, 04 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tom McClintock | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| Michael Masuda | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $20K
- Liquidity: $20K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Tom McClintock:
If the House member sworn in for CA-05 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Sources
Related markets
- Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
- Blue wave this year?
- Blue tsunami this year?
- 2026: Trump's dream year?
- MN-05 House winner?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.