Unemployment in October
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 15:25:28 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 3.7% (99.0%), Above 3.8% (99.0%), Above 3.9% (99.0%). The market has $143K in volume and closes on Fri, 06 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 3.7% | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above 3.8% | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above 3.9% | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above 4.0% | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| Above 4.1% | 71.0% | 71.0¢ | 29.0¢ |
| Above 4.2% | 32.0% | 32.0¢ | 68.0¢ |
| Above 4.3% | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Above 4.4% | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Above 4.5% | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Above 4.6% | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Above 4.7% | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Above 4.8% | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Above 5.0% | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Above 4.9% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $143K
- Liquidity: $143K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 3.7%:
If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 3.7% in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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