Next Prime Minister of Latvia?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 15:54:36 UTC, Polymarket traders price Andris Kulbergs (98.2%), Viktors Valainis (1.1%), Arvils Ašeradens (0.9%). The market has $5K in volume and closes on Sat, 03 Oct 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Andris Kulbergs98.2%98.2¢1.8¢
Viktors Valainis1.1%1.1¢98.9¢
Arvils Ašeradens0.9%0.9¢99.1¢
Jūlija Stepaņenko0.9%0.9¢99.2¢
Ainārs Šlesers0.3%0.3¢99.8¢
Andris Šuvajevs0.3%0.3¢99.8¢
Svetlana Čulkova0.1%0.1¢99.9¢
Ilze Indriksone0.1%0.1¢100.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections to elect the Saeima of Latvia are scheduled to take place on October 3, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who assumes the office of Prime Minister of Latvia following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the Cabinet led by the individual must receive the confidence of the Saeima in a vote of confidence. Any interim, caretaker, or acting Prime Minister, or a Prime Minister whose Cabinet has not received the confidence of the Saeima will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Saeima and the Government of Latvia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sources

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