CA-04 House winner?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 14:19:43 UTC, Kalshi traders price Mike Thompson (76.0%), Eric Jones (24.0%). The market has $47K in volume and closes on Tue, 03 Nov 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Mike Thompson76.0%76.0¢24.0¢
Eric Jones24.0%24.0¢76.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Mike Thompson:

If Mike Thompson wins the 2026 CA-04 House election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Sources

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