10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 29, 2026?
As of Thu, 29 Oct 2026 13:06:03 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.9% or above (99.0%), 5.12% or above (97.0%), 5.14% or above (97.0%). The market has $5K in volume and closes on Thu, 29 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.9% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 5.12% or above | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| 5.14% or above | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| 4.86% or above | 90.0% | 90.0¢ | 10.0¢ |
| 4.98% or above | 81.0% | 81.0¢ | 19.0¢ |
| 5% or above | 72.0% | 72.0¢ | 28.0¢ |
| 5.02% or above | 71.0% | 71.0¢ | 29.0¢ |
| 4.92% or above | 51.0% | 51.0¢ | 49.0¢ |
| 4.94% or above | 51.0% | 51.0¢ | 49.0¢ |
| 4.96% or above | 51.0% | 51.0¢ | 49.0¢ |
| 5.06% or above | 29.0% | 29.0¢ | 71.0¢ |
| 5.04% or above | 29.0% | 29.0¢ | 71.0¢ |
| 5.08% or above | 22.0% | 22.0¢ | 78.0¢ |
| 4.88% or above | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| 5.1% or above | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $5K
- Liquidity: $5K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.86% or above:
If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.85% on Oct 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 29, 2026, or one week following Oct 29, 2026.
Sources
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