10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 27, 2026?
As of Tue, 27 Oct 2026 13:54:51 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.9% or above (99.0%), 4.88% or above (99.0%), 4.92% or above (97.0%). The market has $22K in volume and closes on Tue, 27 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.9% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.88% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.92% or above | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| 4.86% or above | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| 4.94% or above | 91.0% | 91.0¢ | 9.0¢ |
| 4.96% or above | 91.0% | 91.0¢ | 9.0¢ |
| 4.98% or above | 89.0% | 89.0¢ | 11.0¢ |
| 5% or above | 52.0% | 52.0¢ | 48.0¢ |
| 5.02% or above | 32.0% | 32.0¢ | 68.0¢ |
| 5.04% or above | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| 5.06% or above | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| 5.1% or above | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| 5.08% or above | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| 5.14% or above | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| 5.12% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $22K
- Liquidity: $22K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.98% or above:
If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.97% on Oct 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 27, 2026, or one week following Oct 27, 2026.
Sources
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