10Y US Treasury yield on Nov 4, 2026?
As of Wed, 04 Nov 2026 15:55:49 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.76% or above (99.0%), 4.78% or above (98.0%), 4.82% or above (97.0%). The market has $4K in volume and closes on Wed, 04 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.76% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.78% or above | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| 4.82% or above | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| 4.8% or above | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| 4.9% or above | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| 4.84% or above | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| 4.86% or above | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| 4.88% or above | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| 4.92% or above | 77.0% | 77.0¢ | 23.0¢ |
| 4.94% or above | 30.0% | 30.0¢ | 70.0¢ |
| 4.96% or above | 21.0% | 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ |
| 4.98% or above | 17.0% | 17.0¢ | 83.0¢ |
| 5% or above | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| 5.02% or above | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| 5.04% or above | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $4K
- Liquidity: $4K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.96% or above:
If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.95% on Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 4, 2026, or one week following Nov 4, 2026.
Sources
Related markets
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?
- S&P close price end of 2026?
- Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay this year?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.