10Y US Treasury yield on Nov 3, 2026?
As of Tue, 03 Nov 2026 15:13:09 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.81% or above (99.0%), 4.83% or above (99.0%), 4.85% or above (98.0%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Tue, 03 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.81% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.83% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.85% or above | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| 4.87% or above | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| 4.89% or above | 90.0% | 90.0¢ | 10.0¢ |
| 4.91% or above | 86.0% | 86.0¢ | 14.0¢ |
| 4.93% or above | 69.0% | 69.0¢ | 31.0¢ |
| 4.97% or above | 61.0% | 61.0¢ | 39.0¢ |
| 4.95% or above | 44.0% | 44.0¢ | 56.0¢ |
| 4.99% or above | 22.0% | 22.0¢ | 78.0¢ |
| 5.01% or above | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| 5.03% or above | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| 5.05% or above | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| 5.07% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 5.09% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $3K
- Liquidity: $3K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.89% or above:
If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.88% on Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 3, 2026, or one week following Nov 3, 2026.
Sources
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