10Y US Treasury yield on Nov 2, 2026?
As of Mon, 02 Nov 2026 03:25:41 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.86% or above (97.0%), 4.88% or above (93.0%), 4.9% or above (78.0%). The market has $25K in volume and closes on Mon, 02 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.86% or above | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| 4.88% or above | 93.0% | 93.0¢ | 7.0¢ |
| 4.9% or above | 78.0% | 78.0¢ | 22.0¢ |
| 4.92% or above | 73.0% | 73.0¢ | 27.0¢ |
| 4.94% or above | 63.0% | 63.0¢ | 37.0¢ |
| 4.98% or above | 31.0% | 31.0¢ | 69.0¢ |
| 4.96% or above | 28.0% | 28.0¢ | 72.0¢ |
| 5% or above | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| 5.02% or above | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| 5.04% or above | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| 5.06% or above | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| 5.08% or above | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| 5.12% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 5.14% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 5.1% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $25K
- Liquidity: $25K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.86% or above:
If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.85% on Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 2, 2026, or one week following Nov 2, 2026.
Sources
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