Will USD/BRL hit __ in 2026?

As of Mon, 31 Aug 2026 19:53:08 UTC, Polymarket traders price ↑5.75 (57.0%), ↑5.5 (56.5%), ↓4.5 (56.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
↑5.7557.0%57.0¢43.0¢
↑5.556.5%56.5¢43.5¢
↓4.556.0%56.0¢44.0¢
↓4.2552.5%52.5¢47.5¢
↓445.5%45.5¢54.5¢
↑6.542.0%42.0¢58.0¢
↑6.2541.5%41.5¢58.5¢
↑641.5%41.5¢58.5¢
↑78.5%8.5¢91.5¢
↑6.755.5%5.5¢94.5¢
↑7.255.2%5.2¢94.8¢
↓3.752.9%2.9¢97.1¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for ↑5.75:

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any USD/BRL hourly candle for an hour between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday. This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/BRL hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date. This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/BRL Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-brl-chart).

Sources

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