Will USD/BRL hit __ in 2026?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 16:29:23 UTC, Polymarket traders price ↑5.5 (59.0%), ↑5.75 (59.0%), ↑6 (54.5%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
↑5.559.0%59.0¢41.0¢
↑5.7559.0%59.0¢41.0¢
↑654.5%54.5¢45.5¢
↓4.552.5%52.5¢47.5¢
↓4.2549.5%49.5¢50.5¢
↑6.2548.0%48.0¢52.0¢
↑6.543.0%43.0¢57.0¢
↓442.0%42.0¢58.0¢
↑710.9%10.9¢89.1¢
↑6.755.5%5.5¢94.5¢
↑7.255.2%5.2¢94.8¢
↓3.752.9%2.9¢97.1¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for ↑5.5:

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any USD/BRL hourly candle for an hour between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday. This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/BRL hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date. This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/BRL Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-brl-chart).

Sources

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