Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
As of Fri, 21 Aug 2026 10:58:56 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (2.8%). The market has $155K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2.8% | 2.8¢ | 97.3¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $155K
- Liquidity: $59K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources
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