Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 17:05:14 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (72.9%). The market has $19K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Yes72.9%72.9¢27.2¢

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total Pump.fun buybacks are equal to or greater than $500M by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The primary resolution source for this market will be the buyback tracker available at https://fees.pump.fun/, specifically “Total $PUMP Purchases (USD)”.

Sources

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