What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 08:47:10 UTC, Polymarket traders price ↑ 90,000 (52.5%), ↓ 70,000 (36.5%), ↑ 95,000 (35.5%). The market has $10.9M in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 90,000 | 52.5% | 52.5¢ | 47.5¢ |
| ↓ 70,000 | 36.5% | 36.5¢ | 63.5¢ |
| ↑ 95,000 | 35.5% | 35.5¢ | 64.5¢ |
| ↓ 65,000 | 23.5% | 23.5¢ | 76.5¢ |
| ↑ 100,000 | 21.5% | 21.5¢ | 78.5¢ |
| ↓ 60,000 | 15.5% | 15.5¢ | 84.5¢ |
| ↑ 110,000 | 9.5% | 9.5¢ | 90.5¢ |
| ↓ 55,000 | 9.5% | 9.5¢ | 90.5¢ |
| ↓ 50,000 | 6.5% | 6.5¢ | 93.5¢ |
| ↑ 120,000 | 5.5% | 5.5¢ | 94.5¢ |
| ↓ 45,000 | 4.9% | 4.9¢ | 95.1¢ |
| ↓ 40,000 | 3.1% | 3.1¢ | 96.9¢ |
| ↑ 130,000 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| ↑ 140,000 | 2.6% | 2.6¢ | 97.4¢ |
| ↑ 160,000 | 2.1% | 2.1¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $10.9M
- Liquidity: $3.9M
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for ↑ 90,000:
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Sources
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