Will Patek release a steel Nautilus reference this year?

As of Thu, 15 Oct 2026 06:54:47 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (3.0%). The market has $9K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Yes3.0%3.0¢97.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

If Patek releases a steel Nautilus reference to the public before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Sources

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