Will Ninja reach at least 10k Twitch subscribers this year?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (9.0%). The market has $11K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $11K
- Liquidity: $11K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
If Ninja's peak number of active paid Twitch subscribers is at least 10000 at any time before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Active paid Twitch subscribers includes Tier 1 subscriptions (including Prime Gaming), Tier 2, and Tier 3 subscriptions, all counted as single subscriptions without weighting. Gift subscriptions that are currently active are included. Followers, expired subscriptions, channel points, bits, and viewers are NOT included. Only the primary Twitch channel specified at issuance is considered. If the channel is banned or deleted before the deadline, the contract resolves based on the last verifiable peak achieved. The highest subscriber count achieved at any single moment during the period determines resolution. Channel username changes are tracked by unique channel ID and do not affect the market.
Sources
Related markets
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Dancing with the Stars Season 35 · Winner
- Who will perform at the World Cup final halftime show?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Big Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Digger · Rotten Tomatoes score
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.