Will Mexico resume oil exports to Cuba?
As of Sat, 17 Oct 2026 14:29:41 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before December 1, 2026 (11.0%), Before November 1, 2026 (5.0%), Before October 1, 2026 (3.0%). The market has $59K in volume and closes on Sun, 01 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before December 1, 2026 | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| Before November 1, 2026 | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Before October 1, 2026 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $59K
- Liquidity: $59K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before December 1, 2026:
If at least one export shipment of crude oil or refined petroleum products from Petróleos Mexicanos (“Pemex”) to Cuba is confirmed to have occurred before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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