Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
As of Thu, 29 Oct 2026 11:38:07 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (1.9%). The market has $1.1M in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.9% | 1.9¢ | 98.1¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $1.1M
- Liquidity: $13K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of the People's Republic of China (PRC) explicitly announces that Chinese citizens will be allowed to legally buy Bitcoin with yuan (renminbi) from inside China by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the PRC announces this change will take place. Whether it actually does will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the PRC, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources
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