Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
As of Sun, 09 Aug 2026 09:46:58 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (8.6%). The market has $10K in volume and closes on Tue, 16 Feb 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 8.6% | 8.6¢ | 91.3¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $10K
- Liquidity: $495
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm. Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Sources
Related markets
- China Annual Inflation 2026
- Will Alberta join the US?
- Fed Decision in October?
- What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.