Who will the Trump admin next nominate as SCOTUS Justice?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 15:43:14 UTC, Polymarket traders price James Ho (41.0%), Gregory Katsas (38.1%), Ted Cruz (23.9%). The market has $7K in volume and closes on Sat, 20 Jan 2029.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Ho | 41.0% | 41.0¢ | 59.0¢ |
| Gregory Katsas | 38.1% | 38.1¢ | 61.9¢ |
| Ted Cruz | 23.9% | 23.9¢ | 76.1¢ |
| Aileen Cannon | 19.0% | 19.0¢ | 81.0¢ |
| Amul Thapar | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| Andrew Oldham | 12.5% | 12.5¢ | 87.5¢ |
| Mike Lee | 6.5% | 6.5¢ | 93.5¢ |
| Patrick Bumatay | 5.5% | 5.5¢ | 94.5¢ |
| Steven Menashi | 5.4% | 5.4¢ | 94.6¢ |
| John Sauer | 4.8% | 4.8¢ | 95.3¢ |
| Neomi Rao | 4.5% | 4.5¢ | 95.5¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $7K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the next individual who is formally nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. In the event that more than one such nomination is submitted to the Senate at the same time, this market shall resolve in favor of the nomination that was announced first or, should such a temporal determination be impossible to make, in last-name alphabetical order. If no individual is nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources
Related markets
- Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?
- U.S. tariff rate on China on December 31, 2026?
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
- SCOTUS grants Trump Birthright Citizenship Rehearing by December 31?
- Supreme Court accepts AI copyright case before 2027?
- Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.