Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 12:47:11 UTC, Polymarket traders price Gadi Eizenkot (62.0%), Person 1 (50.0%), Person 2 (50.0%). The market has $9K in volume and closes on Wed, 28 Oct 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Gadi Eizenkot62.0%62.0¢38.0¢
Person 150.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Person 250.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Person 450.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Person 750.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Person 850.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Person 950.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Person 1050.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Person 1150.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Person 1250.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Person 1350.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Person 1550.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Person 1650.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Person 1750.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Person 1850.0%50.0¢50.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked by the President of Israel with forming a government following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked with forming a government after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally tasked with forming a government by the President of Israel. Recommendations made to the President by parties or members of the Knesset, and the President's consultations, will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no individual is tasked with forming a government by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sources

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