Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 09:26:03 UTC, Polymarket traders price Justin Gaethje (87.3%), Arman Tsarukyan (7.2%), Ilia Topuria (0.5%). The market has $658K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Gaethje | 87.3% | 87.3¢ | 12.8¢ |
| Arman Tsarukyan | 7.2% | 7.2¢ | 92.8¢ |
| Ilia Topuria | 0.5% | 0.5¢ | 99.5¢ |
| Max Holloway | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ |
| Paddy Pimblett | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ |
| Mateusz Gamrot | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Benoît Saint Denis | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Renato Moicano | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Dan Hooker | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Rafael Fiziev | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Mauricio Ruffy | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Charles Oliveira | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $658K
- Liquidity: $36K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Sources
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