Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 14:40:27 UTC, Polymarket traders price Denver, CO (96.0%), Las Vegas, NV (92.5%), Sacramento, CA (19.0%). The market has $30K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denver, CO | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| Las Vegas, NV | 92.5% | 92.5¢ | 7.5¢ |
| Sacramento, CA | 19.0% | 19.0¢ | 81.0¢ |
| Charlotte, NC | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| Detroit, MI | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
| Chicago, IL | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Portland, OR | 8.5% | 8.5¢ | 91.5¢ |
| New Orleans, LA | 7.5% | 7.5¢ | 92.5¢ |
| Seattle, WA | 7.5% | 7.5¢ | 92.5¢ |
| Pittsburgh, PA | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| New York, NY | 5.8% | 5.8¢ | 94.3¢ |
| Baltimore, MD | 5.5% | 5.5¢ | 94.5¢ |
| Philadelphia, PA | 5.5% | 5.5¢ | 94.5¢ |
| Washington, DC | 5.5% | 5.5¢ | 94.5¢ |
| Boston, MA | 5.5% | 5.5¢ | 94.5¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $30K
- Liquidity: $28K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources
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