When will Bitcoin hit $100k?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 12:15:09 UTC, Polymarket traders price by December 31, 2027 (68.0%), by September 30, 2027 (60.5%), by June 30, 2027 (52.0%). The market has $25K in volume and closes on Sat, 01 Jan 2028.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
by December 31, 202768.0%68.0¢32.0¢
by September 30, 202760.5%60.5¢39.5¢
by June 30, 202752.0%52.0¢48.0¢
by March 31, 202741.0%41.0¢59.0¢
by December 31, 202622.0%22.0¢78.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) from the creation of this market until 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than $100,000. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Sources

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