When will Bitcoin cross $85k again?
As of Wed, 23 Sep 2026 19:34:55 UTC, Kalshi traders price By Feb 5, 2027 (94.0%), By Nov 13, 2026 (92.0%), By Oct 16, 2026 (91.0%). The market has $77K in volume and closes on Sat, 15 May 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| By Feb 5, 2027 | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| By Nov 13, 2026 | 92.0% | 92.0¢ | 8.0¢ |
| By Oct 16, 2026 | 91.0% | 91.0¢ | 9.0¢ |
| By Dec 11, 2026 | 90.0% | 90.0¢ | 10.0¢ |
| By Oct 2, 2026 | 87.0% | 87.0¢ | 13.0¢ |
| By May 14, 2027 | 75.0% | 75.0¢ | 25.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $77K
- Liquidity: $77K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for By Feb 5, 2027:
If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $85000 starting Aug 24, 2026 and before Feb 5, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.
Sources
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