What will Vlad Tenev say during NYT DealBook Summit?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:57 UTC, Kalshi traders price AI / Artificial Intelligence (79.0%), Prediction Market (66.0%), Tokenized / Tokenization (65.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Wed, 02 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 79.0% | 79.0¢ | 21.0¢ |
| Prediction Market | 66.0% | 66.0¢ | 34.0¢ |
| Tokenized / Tokenization | 65.0% | 65.0¢ | 35.0¢ |
| Crypto / Cryptocurrency | 62.0% | 62.0¢ | 38.0¢ |
| Sport | 57.0% | 57.0¢ | 43.0¢ |
| Social | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Perp / Perpetual | 43.0% | 43.0¢ | 57.0¢ |
| Agent / Agentic | 41.0% | 41.0¢ | 59.0¢ |
| Bank / Banking | 40.0% | 40.0¢ | 60.0¢ |
| Active Trader / Active Trading | 40.0% | 40.0¢ | 60.0¢ |
| Retire / Retirement | 37.0% | 37.0¢ | 63.0¢ |
| Option | 36.0% | 36.0¢ | 64.0¢ |
| Credit Card | 34.0% | 34.0¢ | 66.0¢ |
| Bitcoin | 21.0% | 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ |
| Gold (3+ times) | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for AI / Artificial Intelligence:
If Vlad Tenev says AI / Artificial Intelligence as part of 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026 using the original broadcast, stream, or official video release by The New York Times. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Vlad Tenev speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal…
Sources
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