What will Trump say during his rally in Arizona?

As of Wed, 14 Oct 2026 23:42:03 UTC, Kalshi traders price China / Chinese (100.0%), Dividend / Stimulus (100.0%), TSMC (100.0%). The market has $1.9M in volume and closes on Wed, 28 Oct 2026.

Updated: Wed, 14 Oct 2026 23:42:03 UTC

Current odds

Outcome	Chance	Yes price	No price
China / Chinese	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Dividend / Stimulus	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
TSMC	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Drill Baby Drill	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Save America Act	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
AI / Artificial Intelligence	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Healthcare	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Made in America / American Made	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Blockade	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Copper	99.0%	99.0¢	1.0¢
Cheat / Cheater / Cheating	99.0%	99.0¢	1.0¢
Russia / Ukraine	99.0%	99.0¢	1.0¢
Iran (5+ times)	99.0%	99.0¢	1.0¢

Market details

Venue: Kalshi
Volume: $1.9M
Liquidity: $1.9M
Closes: Wed, 28 Oct 2026

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for China / Chinese:

If Donald Trump says China / Chinese as part of Midterm Rally in Bullhead City, Arizona originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Midterm Rally in Bullhead City, Arizona originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Midterm Rally in Bullhead City, Arizona originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qua…

Sources

Source: Kalshi market

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