What will Trump say this week?
As of Mon, 12 Oct 2026 10:34:13 UTC, Kalshi traders price Stupid Question (100.0%), Superintelligence / Super Intelligence (100.0%), Nobel (100.0%). The market has $1.6M in volume and closes on Mon, 12 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stupid Question | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| Superintelligence / Super Intelligence | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| Nobel | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| Canada / Canadian | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| Barack Hussein Obama | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| Dividend / Stimulus | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| Autopen / Auto Pen | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| Socialist / Socialism | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| Rigged Election / Stolen Election | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| Sleepy Joe | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| Voter ID | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| Save America Act | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| Bibi / Netanyahu | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| Blockade | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1.6M
- Liquidity: $1.6M
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Stupid Question:
If Stupid Question, or a plural or possessive form of Stupid Question, is stated by Donald Trump before Oct 12, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Payout criteria The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social). The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. Grammatical/tense inflections.
Sources
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