What will Trump say in October?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 12:49:11 UTC, Kalshi traders price Barack Hussein Obama (100.0%), Ceasefire (100.0%), Moon (100.0%). The market has $117K in volume and closes on Sun, 01 Nov 2026.

Updated: Tue, 20 Oct 2026 12:49:11 UTC

Current odds

Outcome	Chance	Yes price	No price
Barack Hussein Obama	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Ceasefire	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Moon	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Space Force	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Third Term	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Zohran / Mamdani	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Deal / Settle / Settled	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Dividend / Stimulus	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Cognitive	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Filibuster	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Aluminum	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Autism	99.0%	99.0¢	1.0¢
Newscum	99.0%	99.0¢	1.0¢
Pelosi	99.0%	99.0¢	1.0¢
Predict / Prediction	99.0%	99.0¢	1.0¢

Market details

Venue: Kalshi
Volume: $117K
Liquidity: $117K
Closes: Sun, 01 Nov 2026

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Barack Hussein Obama:

If Barack Hussein Obama, or a plural or possessive form of Barack Hussein Obama, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Payout criteria The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social). The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. Grammatical/tense inflections.

Sources

Source: Kalshi market

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