What will Trump say during Hispanic Heritage Month Celebration?

As of Wed, 30 Sep 2026 19:22:28 UTC, Kalshi traders price Social Security (100.0%), NOTA (100.0%), Oil / Gas / Gasoline (100.0%). The market has $211K in volume and closes on Wed, 14 Oct 2026.

Updated: Wed, 30 Sep 2026 19:22:28 UTC

Current odds

Outcome	Chance	Yes price	No price
Social Security	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
NOTA	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Cuba / Cuban	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Biden	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Small Business	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Midterm	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
China / Chinese	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Landslide	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Inflation	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Communist / Communism	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Rubio	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Border	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Tariff	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Venezuela / Venezuelan	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢

Market details

Venue: Kalshi
Volume: $211K
Liquidity: $211K
Closes: Wed, 14 Oct 2026

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Social Security:

If Donald Trump says Social Security as part of Hispanic Heritage Month Celebration originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Hispanic Heritage Month Celebration originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Hispanic Heritage Month Celebration originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify"…

Sources

Source: Kalshi market

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