What will Trump say during his United Nations meetings?

As of Tue, 22 Sep 2026 23:13:48 UTC, Kalshi traders price Hostage (100.0%), Invest / Invested / Investment (100.0%), Stock Market (100.0%). The market has $170K in volume and closes on Tue, 06 Oct 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Hostage100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
Invest / Invested / Investment100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
Stock Market100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
Tariff100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
Venezuela / Venezuelan100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
Nuclear100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
Cartel100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
Trade100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
Greenland (3+ times)100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
Oil / Gas / Gasoline100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
China / Chinese100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
Drone / Torpedo100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
Russia / Russian100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
Billion / Trillion100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
Denmark / Danish100.0%100.0¢0.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Hostage:

If Donald Trump says Hostage as part of any United Nations meeting or event, excluding remarks to the United Nations General Assembly, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the any United Nations meeting or event, excluding remarks to the United Nations General Assembly, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the any United Nations meeting or event, excluding remarks to the United Nations General Assembly, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitivel…

Sources

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.