What will Trump say during his remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival?
As of Thu, 24 Sep 2026 15:12:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price Farm / Farmer / Farming (99.0%), Melania (99.0%), Peace (99.0%). The market has $666K in volume and closes on Thu, 08 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Farm / Farmer / Farming | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Melania | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Peace | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Event does not qualify | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Nuclear | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Boeing | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Stock Market | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Fake News | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Rare Earth | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Great Hall | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Manufacture / Manufacturing | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| North Korea | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Peace in the Middle East | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Russia / Russian | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Soybean | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $666K
- Liquidity: $666K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Farm / Farmer / Farming:
If Donald Trump says Farm / Farmer / Farming as part of remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival ceremony originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival ceremony originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival ceremony originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then…
Sources
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