What will Trump say during his rally in Salina, Kansas?
As of Mon, 02 Nov 2026 04:06:02 UTC, Kalshi traders price China / Chinese (99.0%), Russia / Ukraine (99.0%), Save America Act (99.0%). The market has $214K in volume and closes on Sat, 14 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| China / Chinese | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Russia / Ukraine | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Save America Act | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Diesel | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Hormuz | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Boeing | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Transgender | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Small Business | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Iran (5+ times) | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Made in America / American Made | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Kamala | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Tariff (3+ times) | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Farm / Farmer | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Ilhan / Omar | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Cattle | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $214K
- Liquidity: $214K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for China / Chinese:
If Donald Trump says China / Chinese as part of midterm rally in Salina, Kansas originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 and rescheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the midterm rally in Salina, Kansas originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 and rescheduled for November 1, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the midterm rally in Salina, Kansas originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 and rescheduled for November 1, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any…
Sources
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