What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?

As of Sat, 17 Oct 2026 14:23:50 UTC, Kalshi traders price Transgender (98.0%), Fake News (95.0%), Oil / Gas / Gasoline (95.0%). The market has $43K in volume and closes on Sat, 17 Oct 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Transgender98.0%98.0¢2.0¢
Fake News95.0%95.0¢5.0¢
Oil / Gas / Gasoline95.0%95.0¢5.0¢
Sleepy Joe93.0%93.0¢7.0¢
Healthcare89.0%89.0¢11.0¢
Save America Act89.0%89.0¢11.0¢
Fraud86.0%86.0¢14.0¢
Dividend / Stimulus72.0%72.0¢28.0¢
Barack Hussein Obama71.0%71.0¢29.0¢
Cheat / Cheater / Cheating71.0%71.0¢29.0¢
Afford / Affordable / Affordability67.0%67.0¢33.0¢
Vance66.0%66.0¢34.0¢
Iran (5+ times)63.0%63.0¢37.0¢
ICE61.0%61.0¢39.0¢
Made in America / American Made59.0%59.0¢41.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Transgender:

If Donald Trump says Transgender as part of Midterm Rally in Vandalia, Ohio originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Midterm Rally in Vandalia, Ohio originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Midterm Rally in Vandalia, Ohio originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all o…

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