What will Trump say during his Midterm rally in Iowa?
As of Sat, 31 Oct 2026 20:42:45 UTC, Polymarket traders price Hormuz / Blockade (79.5%), Crazy 7+ times (73.5%), Tariff 5+ times (70.5%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Sun, 01 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hormuz / Blockade | 79.5% | 79.5¢ | 20.5¢ |
| Crazy 7+ times | 73.5% | 73.5¢ | 26.5¢ |
| Tariff 5+ times | 70.5% | 70.5¢ | 29.5¢ |
| Alaska | 69.5% | 69.5¢ | 30.5¢ |
| Maduro | 67.0% | 67.0¢ | 33.0¢ |
| Ass | 52.5% | 52.5¢ | 47.5¢ |
| Electricity / Chip | 50.5% | 50.5¢ | 49.5¢ |
| Shit | 49.5% | 49.5¢ | 50.5¢ |
| Illinois | 48.5% | 48.5¢ | 51.5¢ |
| Daylight Saving | 48.0% | 48.0¢ | 52.0¢ |
| MIT | 45.0% | 45.0¢ | 55.0¢ |
| Transgender 7+ times | 42.5% | 42.5¢ | 57.5¢ |
| Russia / Ukraine | 37.5% | 37.5¢ | 62.5¢ |
| Tax 32+ times | 37.5% | 37.5¢ | 62.5¢ |
| SI / Super Intelligence | 33.5% | 33.5¢ | 66.5¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $13K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Dubuque, Iowa on November 1, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-dubuque-iowa-president-donald-j-trump-djt47-ia) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in Iowa on November 1, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Sources
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