What will Trump say during his announcement on healthcare?
As of Fri, 18 Sep 2026 13:00:04 UTC, Kalshi traders price Favored Nation (92.0%), TrumpRX (84.0%), Pharma / Pharmaceutical (81.0%). The market has $26K in volume and closes on Fri, 02 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Favored Nation | 92.0% | 92.0¢ | 8.0¢ |
| TrumpRX | 84.0% | 84.0¢ | 16.0¢ |
| Pharma / Pharmaceutical | 81.0% | 81.0¢ | 19.0¢ |
| Tariff | 80.0% | 80.0¢ | 20.0¢ |
| Biden | 80.0% | 80.0¢ | 20.0¢ |
| Medicare / Medicaid | 77.0% | 77.0¢ | 23.0¢ |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 76.0% | 76.0¢ | 24.0¢ |
| Insurance | 76.0% | 76.0¢ | 24.0¢ |
| Obamacare | 73.0% | 73.0¢ | 27.0¢ |
| Kennedy / RFK | 73.0% | 73.0¢ | 27.0¢ |
| Iran (2+ times) | 71.0% | 71.0¢ | 29.0¢ |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | 70.0% | 70.0¢ | 30.0¢ |
| Mehmet / Oz | 68.0% | 68.0¢ | 32.0¢ |
| China / Chinese | 62.0% | 62.0¢ | 38.0¢ |
| Pfizer | 43.0% | 43.0¢ | 57.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $26K
- Liquidity: $26K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Favored Nation:
If Donald Trump says Favored Nation as part of Announcement on Healthcare originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Announcement on Healthcare originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Announcement on Healthcare originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all othe…
Sources
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