What will Sam Altman say during his CNBC interview?
As of Tue, 29 Sep 2026 15:28:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price Safe / Safer / Safety (68.0%), Astra (63.0%), China / Chinese (55.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Tue, 13 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Safe / Safer / Safety | 68.0% | 68.0¢ | 32.0¢ |
| Astra | 63.0% | 63.0¢ | 37.0¢ |
| China / Chinese | 55.0% | 55.0¢ | 45.0¢ |
| ChatGPT | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Compute | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| AGI | 38.0% | 38.0¢ | 62.0¢ |
| Valuation / IPO | 37.0% | 37.0¢ | 63.0¢ |
| Anthropic / Claude | 32.0% | 32.0¢ | 68.0¢ |
| Data Center | 30.0% | 30.0¢ | 70.0¢ |
| Elon / Grok | 26.0% | 26.0¢ | 74.0¢ |
| Open Source | 26.0% | 26.0¢ | 74.0¢ |
| IP / Intellectual Property | 25.0% | 25.0¢ | 75.0¢ |
| Google / Gemini | 21.0% | 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ |
| Nvidia | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| Nuclear | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Safe / Safer / Safety:
If Sam Altman says Safe / Safer / Safety as part of CNBC: Fast Money Halftime Report originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the CNBC: Fast Money Halftime Report originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the CNBC: Fast Money Halftime Report originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Sam Altman speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents no…
Sources
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