What will Michelle Bowman say during her remarks on modernizing financial regulation?
As of Thu, 01 Oct 2026 18:42:53 UTC, Kalshi traders price AI / Artificial Intelligence (87.0%), Transparency (85.0%), Stress Test (73.0%). The market has $14K in volume and closes on Thu, 15 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 87.0% | 87.0¢ | 13.0¢ |
| Transparency | 85.0% | 85.0¢ | 15.0¢ |
| Stress Test | 73.0% | 73.0¢ | 27.0¢ |
| Leverage Ratio | 68.0% | 68.0¢ | 32.0¢ |
| Basel III | 57.0% | 57.0¢ | 43.0¢ |
| Inflation | 56.0% | 56.0¢ | 44.0¢ |
| Mortgage | 47.0% | 47.0¢ | 53.0¢ |
| SVB / Silicon Valley Bank | 40.0% | 40.0¢ | 60.0¢ |
| Private Credit | 38.0% | 38.0¢ | 62.0¢ |
| Productivity | 22.0% | 22.0¢ | 78.0¢ |
| Recession | 19.0% | 19.0¢ | 81.0¢ |
| Budget / Deficit | 16.0% | 16.0¢ | 84.0¢ |
| Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| Trump / President | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| Event does not qualify | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $14K
- Liquidity: $14K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for AI / Artificial Intelligence:
If Michelle Bowman says AI / Artificial Intelligence as part of Atlantic Council modernizing financial regulation originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Atlantic Council modernizing financial regulation originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Atlantic Council modernizing financial regulation originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Michelle Bowman speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resol…
Sources
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