What will Melania say during her announcement?

As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 15:45:05 UTC, Kalshi traders price Super Intelligence (99.0%), Safe / Safer / Safety (99.0%), Education (99.0%). The market has $10K in volume and closes on Mon, 02 Nov 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Super Intelligence99.0%99.0¢1.0¢
Safe / Safer / Safety99.0%99.0¢1.0¢
Education99.0%99.0¢1.0¢
Donald99.0%99.0¢1.0¢
Be Best97.0%97.0¢3.0¢
Housing / Homeless48.0%48.0¢52.0¢
Economy / Economic21.0%21.0¢79.0¢
AI / Artificial Intelligence14.0%14.0¢86.0¢
Peace / Peaceful13.0%13.0¢87.0¢
Take It Down10.0%10.0¢90.0¢
Google / Amazon10.0%10.0¢90.0¢
Scholarship8.0%8.0¢92.0¢
Foster / Fostering4.0%4.0¢96.0¢
Event does not qualify1.0%1.0¢99.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Super Intelligence:

If Melania Trump says Super Intelligence as part of Executive Order Signing Ceremony and Announcement originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Executive Order Signing Ceremony and Announcement originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Executive Order Signing Ceremony and Announcement originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Melania Trump speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then…

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