What will Mark Kelly say during The Weeknight?
As of Tue, 29 Sep 2026 23:59:53 UTC, Kalshi traders price AI / Artificial Intelligence (99.0%), Corrupt / Corruption / Crook (99.0%), Oil / Gas / Gasoline (99.0%). The market has $33K in volume and closes on Tue, 13 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Corrupt / Corruption / Crook | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Healthcare | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Iran / Iranian | 59.0% | 59.0¢ | 41.0¢ |
| Hegseth | 40.0% | 40.0¢ | 60.0¢ |
| Election | 30.0% | 30.0¢ | 70.0¢ |
| Republican | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Tariff | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| National Security | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Event does not qualify | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Trump (3+ times) | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Ceasefire | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Data Center | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $33K
- Liquidity: $33K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for AI / Artificial Intelligence:
If Mark Kelly says AI / Artificial Intelligence as part of The Weeknight originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the The Weeknight originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the The Weeknight originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Mark Kelly speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does n…
Sources
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